Excess Mortality in Germany 2020-2022

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And stillbirths, too

My colleague, the brilliant Prof. Christof Kuhbandner, sent me an e-mail about an update to his pre-print analyzing excess deaths and stillbirths in Germany from 2020 to 2022, co-authored with Prof. Matthias Reitzner. This is the most thoughtful and carefully done analysis of excess deaths during the pandemic that I’ve seen. With his permission, I reprint his e-mail summary below and embed the pdf at the bottom.

First of all, it is interesting to look at the excess mortality per year depending on the age group; here is the corresponding result figure:

It had already become apparent for 2021 that an excess mortality is observed particularly in the middle age groups. This trend has continued in 2022: now a high excess mortality is already be observed in the age group 15-29. There – on average (!) across all months in 2022 – almost 10 percent more deaths than expected occurred.

The next thing that is striking is the course of excess mortality within the years depending on the age group. Here is the corresponding result figure…

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